Live US Economic Health Tracker — the US economy as a living tree

Each of the six branches is one sector of the US economy: Growth (GDP, PMIs, industrial production), Inflation (CPI, PPI, PCE), Monetary Policy (Fed decisions, projections, treasury auctions), Labour (payrolls, jobless claims, wages), Consumer (retail sales, confidence, housing) and Trade (trade balance, current account, capital flows).

Each branch moves through six states: Thriving (lush, glowing, bearing fruit), Healthy (bright and shimmering), Stable (calm green baseline), Caution (yellow-green thinning), Weak (orange-red dying foliage) and Critical (bare dead branches). The Sector Health Key in the corner of the scene lists all six.

Every release on the US economic calendar — CPI, non-farm payrolls, GDP, FOMC decisions, retail sales, trade balance and hundreds more — is read by the AI pipeline and scored on a −100 to +100 scale the hour it completes. Scores are weighted by the release's market impact and fade with time: economic conditions decay slowly, so a strong jobs report matters for months, while currency impulses fade within days. Durable anchors such as the Fed's projected rate path and the trade-deficit trend keep the slow-moving branches honest between releases.

Every completed release is read by an AI pipeline and given two scores from −100 to +100 — one for the economy, one for the US dollar — each with a one-line plain-language reason you can read in the feed. Scores are weighted by the release's market importance, so a headline print like CPI or non-farm payrolls moves its branch far more than a minor weekly series. The economy lens is a slow-moving snapshot of current conditions, while the currency lens reacts to surprises quickly and fades within days.

A dedicated scoring service watches the US economic calendar around the clock. Every completed release is scored by an AI pipeline within about an hour, and the archive reaches back to May 2020 — more than six years of scored macro history.

Under the hood every reading is a signed signal from −100 to +100, where 0 is neutral. The headline score is the same reading rescaled to 0–100 — (signal + 100) ÷ 2 — so 50 marks the neutral midpoint shown as a tick on the meter. 49/100 with signal −2 simply means conditions sit a hair below neutral.

They are bands on the same −100 to +100 scale. Around zero a branch is Stable — conditions near their neutral baseline. Clearly positive readings read as Healthy and then Thriving as strength builds; clearly negative readings move through Caution and Weak to Critical as conditions deteriorate. The tree simply redraws each branch to match the band its current reading falls in.

Every news release is scored twice: once for what it means for the real economy and once for what it means for the US dollar. The two often disagree — a hot inflation print weakens the economy reading but usually strengthens the currency reading. The toggle switches which lens the tree displays; the Monetary branch reads as policy stability in the economy lens and as policy direction in the currency lens.

Yes. The time machine under the trunk replays the scored archive from May 2020 to today — the pandemic collapse, the 2021 reopening boom, the 2022 inflation shock and hiking cycle, and every release since, day by day. Scrub the timeline or press play and watch entire economic eras pass through the canopy in seconds, with the news feed and health score tracking the playhead.

The live tree currently tracks the US economy and the US dollar. EUR and GBP trees are planned and will appear in the tree selector when their scored histories are complete.